Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 6.542650 7.466472 8.485135 9.693520 11.090239 12.656711 14.550623
2025-07-06 5.204127 6.379229 7.778284 9.573402 11.825158 14.568653 18.183501
2025-07-13 4.577817 5.912591 7.593870 9.880591 12.930585 16.887522 22.457033
2025-07-20 4.106234 5.532847 7.414069 10.098033 13.864230 19.013005 26.674256
2025-07-27 3.798301 5.309686 7.383932 10.470177 14.999614 21.487386 31.635090
2025-08-03 3.370616 4.861001 6.977079 10.240680 15.218941 22.643342 34.772788
2025-08-10 3.042963 4.514211 6.668586 10.102082 15.528572 23.928923 38.219798
2025-08-17 2.770199 4.217134 6.396714 9.977018 15.824442 25.196110 41.755538
2025-08-24 2.529999 3.944092 6.130493 9.823996 16.043434 26.340042 45.194128
2025-08-31 2.314011 3.687551 5.863221 9.635673 16.172098 27.328276 48.455679
2025-09-07 2.238306 3.648677 5.939207 10.019731 17.303530 30.138152 55.320681
2025-09-14 2.116998 3.522490 5.857440 10.120904 17.941307 32.131232 60.899203
2025-09-21 1.974227 3.350094 5.686067 10.053819 18.279097 33.634063 65.773521
2025-09-28 1.836326 3.174525 5.493840 9.929435 18.494917 34.926669 70.393562
2025-10-05 1.779407 3.136718 5.540694 10.249058 19.586486 38.025953 79.156102
2025-10-12 1.713196 3.076044 5.539741 10.475296 20.514265 40.895755 87.814978
2025-10-19 1.673274 3.060043 5.618850 10.862526 21.803850 44.648452 98.952415
2025-10-26 1.557101 2.891209 5.395015 10.623720 21.768683 45.591145 103.769659
2025-11-02 1.462369 2.756263 5.225611 10.479508 21.917327 46.943716 109.734688
2025-11-09 1.377094 2.633362 5.070091 10.349385 22.081415 48.344187 116.005354
2025-11-16 1.295512 2.511822 4.907917 10.190179 22.163425 49.563001 121.987277
2025-11-23 1.216540 2.389931 4.735895 9.994258 22.141537 50.534129 127.464427
2025-11-30 1.201670 2.397675 4.831033 10.393826 23.537661 55.045911 142.990094